MIAMI, USA — An area of low pressure is currently located about 1,000 miles east of the Lesser Antilles and the system is given a high chance — 80 percent — of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours.
According to the National Hurricane Center in Miami, environmental conditions remain conducive for a tropical depression to form during the next day or so as this low moves westward at 20 to 25 mph. This system, which is expected to become Tropical Storm Isaac, could reach the Lesser Antilles by Wednesday and interests in that area should monitor the progress of this disturbance.
Meanwhile, another tropical wave located south-southwest of the Cape Verde islands continues to produce disorganized shower activity. Some gradual development is possible over the next few days and this system has a medium chance — 30 percent — of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours as it moves westward at 15 to 20 mph.
Colorado State University Department of Atmospheric Science has predicted that the next two weeks could see intense climate activity at 130 percent above average.
They have based this prediction on forecasts going as far back as 1950, which consistently show an escalation in accumulated cyclone energy between August 17 and 30.